- Excess Deaths in Korea During the COVID-19 Pandemic: 2020-2022
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So-Jin Im, Ji-Yeon Shin, Duk-Hee Lee
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J Prev Med Public Health. 2024;57(5):480-489. Published online August 20, 2024
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3961/jpmph.24.254
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Abstract
Summary
PDFSupplementary Material
- Objectives
Excess deaths, an indicator that compares total mortality rates before and during a pandemic, offer a comprehensive view of the pandemic’s impact. However, discrepancies may arise from variations in estimating expected deaths. This study aims to compare excess deaths in Korea during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic using 3 methods and to analyze patterns using the most appropriate method.
Methods Expected deaths from 2020 to 2022 were estimated using mortality data from 2015-2019 as reference years. This estimation employed 3 approaches: (1) simple average, (2) age-adjusted average, and (3) age-adjusted linear regression. Excess deaths by age, gender, and cause of death were also presented.
Results The number of excess deaths varied depending on the estimation method used, reaching its highest point with the simple average and its lowest with the age-adjusted average. Age-adjusted linear regression, which accounts for both the aging population and declining mortality rates, was considered most appropriate. Using this model, excess deaths were estimated at 0.3% for 2020, 4.0% for 2021, and 20.7% for 2022. Excess deaths surged among individuals in their 20s throughout the pandemic, largely attributed to a rise in self-harm and suicide. Additionally, the results indicated sharp increases in deaths associated with “endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases” and “symptoms, signs, and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified.”
Conclusions Substantial variations in excess deaths were evident based on estimation method, with a notable increase in 2022. The heightened excess deaths among young adults and specific causes underscore key considerations for future pandemic responses.
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Summary
Korean summary
초과 사망은 팬데믹 영향을 종합적으로 평가하는 핵심 지표로 잘 알려져 있으나, 추정 방법에 따라 결과가 다양한 것으로 보고되고 있다. 코로나19 팬데믹동안 흔하게 사용된 3가지 방법 – 단순 평균, 연령보정 평균, 연령 보정 선형 회귀식-을 이용하여 초과사망을 추정하였을 때, 추정 방법에 따라서 초과사망에 큰 차이가 있었다. 3가지 방법 중 인구 고령화와 사망률 감소 추이를 고려한 연령 보정 선형 회귀식이 가장 적절한 것으로 판단되었으며, 이 방법을 이용한 한국의 초과 사망은 2020년 0.3%, 2021년 4.0%, 2022년 20.7%로 추정되었다. 또한 팬데믹 전 기간 동안 20대 초과 사망이 급증했는데 이는 주로 자해와 자살의 증가로 인한 것이었으며, '내분비, 영양 및 대사 질환' 및 ' 달리 분류되지 않은 증상, 징후와 임상 및 검사의 이상소견”으로 인한 초과사망도 급증하였다.
Key Message
● Excess deaths, a comprehensive indicator of the pandemic’s impact, varied by estimation method.
● Using an age-adjusted linear regression approach, which considers an aging population and declining mortality rates, excess deaths in Korea during the COVID-19 pandemic were estimated at 0.3% for 2020, 4.0% for 2021, and 20.7% for 2022.
● Excess deaths surged among individuals in their 20s throughout the pandemic, mainly due to increased self-harm and suicide, alongside a sharp rise in deaths related to ‘endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases’, and ‘symptoms, signs, and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified’.
- Comparison of Trends in Blood Pressure and the Prevalence of Obesity Among Korean and American Adolescents: A 12-Years Cross-sectional Study
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Somi Heo, Seyoung Kwon, Yu-Mi Lee, Ji-Yeon Shin, Duk-Hee Lee
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J Prev Med Public Health. 2020;53(1):45-55. Published online November 20, 2019
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3961/jpmph.19.198
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5,056
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Abstract
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This study was conducted to explore recent trends in the prevalence of pediatric elevated blood pressure and hypertension (HTN) in Korea and the United States, applying the new HTN reference values for adolescents.
Methods This study analyzed 17 339 (8755 Korean and 8584 American) adolescents aged 10 to 17 who participated in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, respectively, between 2005 and 2016. HTN was defined using percentile-based reference values for non-overweight adolescents from 7 nations, and obesity was defined by body mass index (BMI) based on country-specific growth charts. All analyses were stratified by sex and year-over-year changes were evaluated by calculating the p for trend.
Results Systolic blood pressure showed a statistically meaningful upward trend in Korean boys and girls, while diastolic blood pressure did not show any significant changes. Both systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels declined among United States boys and girls. The prevalence of elevated blood pressure and HTN remained similar in Korean adolescents, but declined in both sexes among United States adolescents. BMI increased in both sexes among Korean adolescents, although the overweight and obesity rates stayed the same. No significant trends were found in any obesity indices among United States adolescents. The prevalence of elevated blood pressure and HTN by obesity level was higher among Korean adolescents than among their United States peers in both sexes, and the gap became higher at more severe levels of obesity.
Conclusions Despite the strong correlation between obesity and HTN, recent trends in the prevalence of HTN and obesity among Korean and United States adolescents were strikingly different. Follow-up studies are necessary to determine why the prevalence of HTN was more than twice as high among Korean adolescents than among their United States counterparts.
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Summary
Korean summary
본 연구에서는 새로운 소아청소년 고혈압 기준을 이용하여, 최근 한국과 미국 소아청소년들의 혈압 및 고혈압 유병률의 변화 추이를 비교하였다. 비만과 고혈압간의 높은 관련성에도 불구하고 한국과 미국 소아청소년의 고혈압 유병률과 비만율은 서로 다른 변화 추이를 나타내었으며, 고혈압 발생에 있어서 한국 소아청소년들이 미국 소아청소년들보다 비만에 더 취약할 가능성을 나타내고 있어 이에 관한 후속연구가 필요하다.
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Avisa Tabib, Akbar Nikpajouh, Maryam Aryafar, Niloufar Samiei, Yousef Rezaei, Hassan Ziaodini, Azam Goodarzi, Bahareh Kazemborji, Nasim Naderi, Sepideh Taghavi, Hooman Bakhshandeh, Saeid Hosseini Pediatric Cardiology.2024; 45(6): 1192. CrossRef - Body Mass Index, Waist Circumference, Hip Circumference, Waist-To-Height Ratio: Which Affects Adolescent Hypertension More?
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- Association of Homocysteine Levels With Blood Lead Levels and Micronutrients in the US General Population
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Yu-Mi Lee, Mi-Kyung Lee, Sang-Geun Bae, Seon-Hwa Lee, Sun-Young Kim, Duk-Hee Lee
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J Prev Med Public Health. 2012;45(6):387-393. Published online November 29, 2012
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3961/jpmph.2012.45.6.387
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9,699
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Even though several epidemiological studies have observed positive associations between blood lead levels and homocysteine, no study has examined whether this association differs by the levels of micronutrients, such as folate, vitamin B6, and vitamin B12, which are involved in the metabolism of homocysteine. In this study, we examined the interactions between micronutrients and blood lead on homocysteine levels. MethodsThis study was performed with 4089 adults aged ≥20 years old in the US general population using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2003-2004. ResultsThere were significant or marginally significant interactions between micronutrients and blood lead levels on mean homocysteine levels. Positive associations between blood lead and homocysteine were clearly observed among subjects with low levels of folate or low vitamin B6 (p-trend <0.01, respectively). However, in the case of vitamin B12, there was a stronger positive association between blood lead and homocysteine among subjects with high levels of vitamin B12, compared to those with low levels of vitamin B12. In fact, the levels of homocysteine were already high among subjects low in vitamin B12, irrespective of blood lead levels. When we used hyperhomocysteinemia (homocysteine>15 µmol/L) as the outcome, there were similar patterns of interaction, though p-values for each interaction failed to reach statistical significance. ConclusionsIn the current study, the association between blood lead and homocysteine differed based on the levels of folate, vitamin B6, or vitamin B12 present in the blood. It may be important to keep sufficient levels of these micronutrients to prevent the possible harmful effects of lead exposure on homocysteine levels.
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- Blood Homocysteine Levels Mediate the Association Between Blood Lead Levels and Cardiovascular Mortality
Sapha Shibeeb, Atiyeh Abdallah, Zumin Shi Cardiovascular Toxicology.2024; 24(1): 62. CrossRef - First trimester prenatal metal mixtures, vitamins, and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in the project viva cohort
Ixel Hernandez-Castro, Sheryl L. Rifas-Shiman, Pi-I D. Lin, Jorge E. Chavarro, Diane R. Gold, Mingyu Zhang, Noel T. Mueller, Tamarra James-Todd, Brent Coull, Marie-France Hivert, Emily Oken, Andres Cardenas Environment International.2024; 190: 108909. CrossRef - Association of low-level blood lead with plasma homocysteine in US children and adolescents
Lingfei Shi, Jia Zhou, Jinjiang Dong, Faliang Gao, Wenyan Zhao Environmental Geochemistry and Health.2023; 45(7): 5013. CrossRef - Prevalence of hyperhomocysteinemia (HHcy) and its major determinants among hypertensive patients over 35 years of age
Minna Cheng, Hong Xue, Xinjian Li, Qinghua Yan, Dingliang Zhu, Yan Wang, Yan Shi, Chen Fu European Journal of Clinical Nutrition.2022; 76(4): 616. CrossRef - Maternal exposure to heavy metals and risk for severe congenital heart defects in offspring
Chengrong Wang, Xin Pi, Shengju Yin, Mengyuan Liu, Tian Tian, Lei Jin, Jufen Liu, Zhiwen Li, Linlin Wang, Zhengwei Yuan, Yu Wang, Aiguo Ren Environmental Research.2022; 212: 113432. CrossRef - Lead (Pb) exposure and heart failure risk
Zihan Chen, Xia Huo, Guangcan Chen, Xiuli Luo, Xijin Xu Environmental Science and Pollution Research.2021; 28(23): 28833. CrossRef - Plasma Vitamin B12 and Folate Alter the Association of Blood Lead and Cadmium and Total Urinary Arsenic Levels with Chronic Kidney Disease in a Taiwanese Population
Yu-Mei Hsueh, Ya-Li Huang, Yuh-Feng Lin, Horng-Sheng Shiue, Ying-Chin Lin, Hsi-Hsien Chen Nutrients.2021; 13(11): 3841. CrossRef - Modification of vitamin B6 on the associations of blood lead levels and cardiovascular diseases in the US adults
Jia Wei, John S Ji BMJ Nutrition, Prevention & Health.2020; 3(2): 180. CrossRef - Nonlinear association between blood lead and hyperhomocysteinemia among adults in the United States
Minghui Li, Lihua Hu, Wei Zhou, Tao Wang, Lingjuan Zhu, Zhenyu Zhai, Huihui Bao, Xiaoshu Cheng Scientific Reports.2020;[Epub] CrossRef - Biomonitoring findings for occupational lead exposure in battery and ceramic tile workers using biochemical markers, alkaline comet assay, and micronucleus test coupled with fluorescence in situ hybridisation
Vilena Kašuba, Mirta Milić, Davor Želježić, Marin Mladinić, Alica Pizent, Zorana Kljaković-Gašpić, Melita Balija, Irena Jukić Archives of Industrial Hygiene and Toxicology.2020; 71(4): 339. CrossRef - Exposure to Toxic Heavy Metals Can Influence Homocysteine Metabolism?
Caterina Ledda, Emanuele Cannizzaro, Piero Lovreglio, Ermanno Vitale, Angela Stufano, Angelo Montana, Giovanni Li Volti, Venerando Rapisarda Antioxidants.2019; 9(1): 30. CrossRef - Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms in Key One-Carbon Metabolism Genes and Their Association with Blood Folate and Homocysteine Levels in a Chinese Population in Yunnan
Juan Ni, Yaoxian Liu, Tao Zhou, Xiayu Wu, Xu Wang Genetic Testing and Molecular Biomarkers.2018; 22(3): 193. CrossRef - α-Tocopherol supplementation and the oxidative stress, homocysteine, and antioxidants in lead exposure
Sławomir Kasperczyk, Michał Dobrakowski, Aleksandra Kasperczyk, Ewa Nogaj, Marta Boroń, Zbigniew Szlacheta, Ewa Birkner Archives of Environmental & Occupational Health.2017; 72(3): 153. CrossRef - Determinants of hyperhomocysteinemia in healthy and hypertensive subjects: A population-based study and systematic review
Liyuan Han, Yanfen Liu, Changyi Wang, Linlin Tang, Xiaoqi Feng, Thomas Astell-Burt, Qi wen, Donghui Duan, Nanjia Lu, Guodong Xu, Kaiyue Wang, Lu Zhang, Kaibo Gu, Sihan Chen, Jianping Ma, Tao Zhang, Dingyun You, Shiwei Duan Clinical Nutrition.2017; 36(5): 1215. CrossRef - Effect of occupational exposure to lead on new risk factors for cardiovascular diseases
Adam Prokopowicz, Andrzej Sobczak, Magdalena Szuła-Chraplewska, Marzena Zaciera, Jolanta Kurek, Izabela Szołtysek-Bołdys Occupational and Environmental Medicine.2017; 74(5): 366. CrossRef - Blood lead, cadmium and mercury in relation to homocysteine and C-reactive protein in women of reproductive age: a panel study
Anna Z. Pollack, Sunni L. Mumford, Lindsey Sjaarda, Neil J. Perkins, Farah Malik, Jean Wactawski-Wende, Enrique F. Schisterman Environmental Health.2017;[Epub] CrossRef - Blood lead levels, iron metabolism gene polymorphisms and homocysteine: a gene-environment interaction study
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- Associations of Serum Ferritin and Transferrin % Saturation With All-cause, Cancer, and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Follow-up Study
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Ki-Su Kim, Hye-Gyeong Son, Nam-Soo Hong, Duk-Hee Lee
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J Prev Med Public Health. 2012;45(3):196-203. Published online May 31, 2012
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3961/jpmph.2012.45.3.196
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Even though experimental studies have suggested that iron can be involved in generating oxidative stress, epidemiologic studies on the association of markers of body iron stores with cardiovascular disease or cancer remain controversial. This study was performed to examine the association of serum ferritin and transferrin saturation (%TS) with all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality. MethodsThe study subjects were men aged 50 years or older and postmenopausal women of the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1988-1994. Participants were followed-up for mortality through December 31, 2006. ResultsSerum ferritin was not associated with all-cause, cancer, or cardiovascular mortality for either men or postmenopausal women. However, all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality were inversely associated with %TS in men. Compared with men in the lowest quintile, adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality were 0.85, 0.86, 0.76, and 0.74 (p for trend < 0.01), 0.82, 0.73, 0.75, and 0.63 (p for trend < 0.01), and 0.86, 0.81, 0.72, and 0.76 (p for trend < 0.01), respectively. For postmenopausal women, inverse associations were also observed for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but cancer mortality showed the significantly lower mortality only in the 2nd quintile of %TS compared with that of the 1st quintile. ConclusionsUnlike speculation on the role of iron from experimental studies, %TS was inversely associated with all-cause, cancer and cardiovascular mortality in men and postmenopausal women. On the other hand, serum ferritin was not associated with all-cause, cancer, or cardiovascular mortality.
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- Interaction Between Persistent Organic Pollutants and C-reactive Protein in Estimating Insulin Resistance Among Non-diabetic Adults
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Ki-Su Kim, Nam-Soo Hong, David R Jacobs, Duk-Hee Lee
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J Prev Med Public Health. 2012;45(2):62-69. Published online March 31, 2012
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3961/jpmph.2012.45.2.62
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Chronic inflammation is now thought to play a key pathogenetic role in the associations of obesity with insulin resistance and diabetes. Based on our recent findings on persistent organic pollutants (POPs) including the lack of an association between obesity and either insulin resistance or diabetes prevalence among subjects with very low concentrations of POPs, we hypothesized that POP concentrations may be associated with inflammation and modify the associations between inflammation and insulin resistance in non-diabetic subjects. MethodsCross-sectional associations among serum POPs, C-reactive protein (CRP), and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) were investigated in 748 non-diabetic participants aged ≥20 years. Nineteen types of POPs in 5 subclasses were selected because the POPs were detectable in ≥60% of the participants. ResultsAmong the five subclasses of POPs, only organochlorine (OC) pesticides showed positive associations with CRP concentrations, while polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) showed inverse associations with CRP concentrations. There were statistically significant interactions between CRP and OC pesticides and between CRP and PCBs, in estimating HOMA-IR (P for interaction <0.01 and <0.01, respectively). CRP was not associated with HOMA-IR among subjects with low concentrations of OC pesticides or PCBs, while CRP was strongly associated with HOMA-IR among subjects with high concentrations of these POPs. ConclusionsIn the current study, OC pesticides were associated with increased levels of CRP, a marker of inflammation, and both OC pesticides and PCBs may also modify the associations between CRP and insulin resistance.
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